The Futures Lab
Research
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Research
Active work and published papers from the lab.
May 21, 2026 · Research
Favourite–Longshot Bias in Current Production
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Search articles
May 20, 2026 · Research · 12m
LMSR Curvature Under Adversarial Flow
May 12, 2026 · Active · 8m
Wallet classification on Polymarket
May 6, 2026 · Active · 10m
Generative market simulation
Apr 28, 2026 · Active · 9m
LLM calibration scoring
Apr 15, 2026 · Research · 11m
Combinatorial arbitrage & EDT